Dynamic Sector Strength Strategy

This aggressive global momentum investment strategy is designed to invest the majority of funds domestically in U.S. based investments including the S&P 500 index, and NASDAQ 100 index (QQQ) heavily weighted in U.S. based technology companies, or internationally in either developed foreign markets, and emerging markets. Up to 85% of funds can be invested in the index with the strongest recent performance. In addition, up to 15% of funds can be invested in a less diversified sector index (described below), when that sector is performing strongly. The strategy will switch to the safety of government bonds or cash when performance of U.S or foreign markets turns down. The chart below is the back-tested performance of the Global Dynamic Sector Strength Strategy since 1994 (approx 25 years) compared to the Vanguard Balanced Fund (VBINX) which holds 60% stocks and 40% bonds.

How does the strategy work?

The Global Dynamic Sector Strength Strategy invests the majority of its holdings in one or two of the indexes below that have the strongest recent performance. The strategy will recommend from 60% to 85% of funds be held in the strongest performing index, and up to 30% of funds in the second strongest performing index.

S&P 500 index.
NASDAQ 100 index heavily weighted in technology sector.
MCSI EAFE (Europe, Australasia and Far East) Developed Markets index.
Emerging Markets index.

In addition to these indexes, the strategy also monitors a variety of sectors in the global investment world and will recommend up to 15% of funds be held in one of these sectors when the sector is out-performing the broader indexes above. The sectors include specific industries of the U.S. economy, as well as different country-specific funds.

Like all of our strategies, this strategy is designed to move from risky assets (stock indexes) to safety assets (bond indexes) when the broader indexes show weakness in recent performance. The intermediate-term government bond index (IEF) is used as a source of safety funds. When performance of IEF is negative, the strategy will recommend cash be held to limit losses to the portfolio.

Asset class	Holding	Description
U.S. Large Cap	SPY	SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Developed Foreign Markets	EFA	iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund
Emerging Markets	EEM	SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
U.S. Technology	QQQ	PowerShares QQQ Trust
Government Bonds	IEF	iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund
Cash	Cash	Cash held as United States dollars.

Strategy Metrics

Metric	Strategy	Balanced portfolio
Annual Return (20 years)	11.1%	6.7%
Sharpe Ratio (20 years)	0.70	0.68
Max Drawdown	-19.7%	-32.6%
Drawdown Start / End dates	August 2021 to June 2023	October 2007 to December 2010
Max Drawdown length	22 months	38 months

Latest Strategy recommendations

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Sectors

Country / Sector	Sector Holding	Description
Singapore	EWS	iShares MSCI Singapore Capped ETF
South Korea	EWY	iShares MSCI South Korea Capped ETF
Brazil	EWZ	iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF
Internet	FDN	First Trust Dow Jones Internet ETF
China Large-Cap	FXI	iShares China Large-Cap ETF
Gold Miners	GDX	VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF
Biotechnology	IBB	iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF
China Internet	KWEB	KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
Russia	RSX	VanEck Vectors Russia ETF
Social Media	SOCL	Global X Social Media ETF
Semiconductors	SOXX	iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF
Energy	XLE	Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Financial	XLF	Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF
Consumer Discretionary	XLY	Consumer Discret Sel Sect SPDR ETF

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